All real estate contracts have contingencies. The big ones are Attorney and Home Inspections.
The Attorney is for the property legal issues. The Home inspection is for the property physical issues.
There should be another contingence,"the property value contingency". The smart buyers will have a "value contingency"
The value contingency is a statement that should be inserted into the purchase contract, "The property sales price will not exceed the appraisal value opinion"
The buyer assumes the lender's appraisal will be the true value market value. In most cases the lender's appraisal value opinion will be close/and or the same as the sales price.
A smart buyer will get their own appraisal. WHY? to save money. Assuming the Appraisal fee is $350.00. How much can you save with your own appraisal?
You want to purchase a 2 bedroom, 2 bath unit in a high-rise building located in the Near North Side MLS 8008. Price Range $350,000 - $399,900. How much should you pay for the unit?
2 bedroom 2 bath high rise sales in MLS 8008, in the past 2 years.
57 sales, 09/2006 -09/2007, $350,000- $398,500, median $375,000, avg $373,975, dom 115.
46 sales, 09/2007 -09/2008, $353,000- $399,000, median $375,000, avg $376,300, dom 135.
20 sales, 09/2007 -03/2008, $353,000- $399,000, median $374,950, avg $376,300, dom 135.
27 sales, 03/2008 -09/2008, $354,000- $395,000, median $377,500, avg $378,054, dom 127
12 sales, 06/2008 -09/2008, $354,000- $395,000, median $376,208, avg $376,208, dom 161
Based on the above data for a 2 bedroom, 2 bath, high rise unit in the subject market there has been no median increase in value the past year. But.
North Side market attached sales
2739 sales 09/07 -09/08, $105,000 - $5,990,000, median $420,000, avg $583,092 dom 119.
3096 sales, 09/06 -09/07, $111,900 - $8,275,000, median $380,233, avg $546,032, dom 118l
The median market one year increase in value was $39,767, and/ or 10.46%
Will the lenders's appraisal value reflect a increase in value of $10.46% in the past year? When there was no increase in value for a 2 bedroom, 2 bath, high rise unit. How would the buyer know the true market value unless they got their own appraisal. With the "property value contingence" a buyer will save a lot more than the appraisal fee cost.
Question to ask the Appraiser:
1. Do you research the market data? For the subject property, and similar units. 2.The subject market values for the past two years, the 6 months prior and present values, and the past 3 months values. 3. Do you explain the market data with the low, high, median, average values, market times, and trends.
Jack Schlenk
773 685,800
jack127@att.net
web site, WcuAppraisals.com
HOW TO STOP INFLATED APPRAISALS, AND /OR ARRIVE AT A REASONABLE MARKET VALUE
Example taken from a recent appraisal.
The property was purchased 03/1999, the sales price $450,000, days on the market, 397. Original list price was
$550,000. The prior sales date for the property was 03/1986, the sales price $340,000, the increase in value
for 13 years was $110,000/ 32.24%.
08/2003, this property was appraised for $1,300,000. No major improvements. In 4 years the subject’s increase in value was $850,000,/ 188.89% . The subject property square footage was in the 2900- 3000 SF range. Subject’s market median value for a property in the 2,900 -3300 SF range, was $649,000
The subject was appraised 06/2008, the value opinion was in the $750,000 - $800, 000 range
How, why was the property appraised a $1,300,000? Was it fraud , or was the appraiser incompetent?
The appraiser should have researched the market values for the subject property, the subject building, and the
subject market.
Subject Market:
The market 12 month increase in value was 07.69%, and a decrease in sales of 16%
The market 6 month increase in value was 07.93%, and a decrease in sales of 11%
The market 3 month DECREASE in value was MINUS 07.45% and a INCREASE in sales of 93%
Based on above data, is this market increasing in value? It appears the market sales numbers are increasing due to lower sales prices. Therefore the values in the subject appear to be decreasing.
If you are buying and/or selling a property, get a good appraisal for negotiation purposes. The appraisal should
have the complete sales history of the subject. Also at least the 2 year history of the market, sub division, the building if a condo/ coop, the map coordinates, and if in a urban area a four block radius of the subject property.
Example:
The subject is a 1 story, brick, 6 bedrooms, 3 bedrooms, 2 bath, full unfinished basement, 2 car garage age 30 years
Market data can be for 1 category and/or a combination of categories. I.E.;
Active Single family listing
Total number of listings, value range low to high, median value, average value, doom
Most (number) are in the dollar value range, percent of the l market sales
Brick 1 story
Total ( number) of listing value range low to high, median value, average value
Most ( number) are in the dollar value range, percentage of market sales
Brick 1 story, 3 bedrooms, 2 bath.
data format is the same as above.
Continue the category process until their is no data for comparison.
Pending single family
same format as the active listings.
page 2
For sales it is the same format, plus the addition of the past year and prior year, plus the median and average
differences by dollars and percent.
Sales Single family
Number, date (07-07 -07/08), values low to high, median dollars, average dollars, dom number ( days on market)
Number, date (07/06 -07/07), values low to high, median dollars, average dollars, dom number
Average one year increase or decrease (dollars) and percentage between the last year, and previous year.
One year median increase or decrease (dollars) and percentage between the last year and previous year
Most, (the past year number) are in the value range, (dollars) and the percentage of sales
Please note in the past year there was a decrease or increase in sales ( number/ percent), and a median increase
or decrease of dollars/ percentage, and / or percentage per month.
Single family, 1 story, brick
Same format as above,
Continue the categories until there is no data.
Sales single family past 6 months. (date)
Use the Active format
Number of sales, values low to high, median dollar, average dollars, dom number.
Most (number) are in the low to high range (dollars) (percentage)
Continue the categories until there is no data
Other sales, Present year
number, attached, value range, dom
number, 2-4 Unit value range, dom
number site value range, dom
List the competing site values
Address, square foot, sales price, sales date, price per square foot.
All sale single family, attached, 2 -4 unit
number date (07/07-07/08), values low to high, median dollars, average dollars, dom
number date (07/06-07/07), values low to high, median dollars, average dollars, dom
Same format as single family above.
Sales single family ( 6 months)
number, date (01/08- 07/08) values low to high, median dollars, average dollars, dom
number date (07/07 - 01/08) values low to high, median dollars, average dollars, dom
Same format as the single family above.
Sales single family (3 months)
number, date (01/08-03/08) values low to high, median dollars, average dollars, dom
number, date (03/08-07/08) values low to high, median dollars, average dollars, dom
Same format as the single family above
Page 3
When accessing the data for the report the date format is, "month, day, year". In the report only month and year
To negotiate a purchase and/ or a sale of a property you would want to be in the best position. However do you
get in that position is by having the numbers that will support your value opinion of the said property.
If you have an appraisals with the data that supports your selling price and/ or your offering price, you should
be able to make a deal.
Short sale, how to convince the lender the offering price is what the market will support,.go back and review the subject’s market data at the time of last mortgage, and at the time(s) of the prior sales, did the market at that time
support the sales price, and/or the mortgage value.Were the values inflated? If the values were inflated, this will
give you some leverage in the negotiating the value of the property..
An appraisal with the market history of the subject property, along with the subject market history , listing
the market data values by categories, time periods for the active, pending and closed sales is the best negotiating
tool for buying and/or selling a property.
The market data in the appraisal report will explain, and show the reader how the value opinion in the report is supported by the market.
Certified Real Estate Appraiser
773 685 8300,
web site.WCUAppraisals.com
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